Will “ICE / DHS” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “ICE / DHS” was said at the White House press briefing on 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (75%), most recently on Apr 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
ICE / DHS
- Probability
- 48% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…there may be a question about in a moment, the DOJ and DHS are working together to prioritize unlawful voting in our elections. Election integrity…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…many illegal aliens, I don't keep track of every single person that DHS deports, so I found about it -- out about it publicly. I'm…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…New Jersey, requesting that noncitizens that are on their voter rolls need to be reported to DHS and need to removed from those voter rolls.
…convicted of the most heinous and violent crimes. This past weekend alone, ICE arrested a Mexican national and gang member convicted of second degree murder…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “ICE / DHS” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “ICE / DHS” was said at the White House press briefing on 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (75%), most recently on Apr 8, 2026.
- What is the probability “ICE / DHS” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘ICE / DHS’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/dhs-or-ice (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=dhs%20%2F%20ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP