Will “DHS / Homeland” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “DHS / Homeland” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 10, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceWhite House press briefing
DHS / Homeland
- Probability
- 36% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…there may be a question about in a moment, the DOJ and DHS are working together to prioritize unlawful voting in our elections. Election integrity…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…fear. What I would say is that we feel quite confident the homeland is safe. We also feel quite confident that the Iranians are going…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…and being on our voter rolls in our country. The Secretary of Homeland Security, as you know, sent a letter to several states, including New…
…to the border. Brand new numbers this week from the Department of Homeland Security and Customs and Border Protection confirmed that, for the 14th straight…
…last three months, two-thirds of the defensive weapons that have protected your homeland have been built by American hands and paid for by American tax…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | DHS / Homeland | No | 0 | |
| Mar 10, 2026 | DHS / Homeland | Yes | 7 |
Questions
- How often is “DHS / Homeland” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “DHS / Homeland” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 10, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “DHS / Homeland” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘DHS / Homeland’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/dhs-or-homeland (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=dhs%20%2F%20homeland · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP