Will “Democrat” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Democrat” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 23, 2025 (67%), most recently on Aug 13, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
- Market
- 47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Democrat
- Probability
- 35% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…is never -- is never a good thing, whether it's Republican or Democrat. And so I'm not sure exactly what you're referring to, except for…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…you just look back to the last administration, I mean, even the Democrats in the room, and I know you guys, if you're being honest,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…exactly what he is delivering with the help of Republicans in Congress. Democrats throw around the word affordability a lot, but when they had the…
…on the integrity of our elections, tonight. I think all Republicans and Democrats should recognize this should be a nonpartisan issue. If we don't have…
…you've had lawmakers today raising concern about Bill Pulte and on the Democrat side, questioning his ability to carry out that role fairly and not…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Democrat” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Democrat” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 23, 2025 (67%), most recently on Aug 13, 2025.
- What is the probability “Democrat” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Democrat’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/democrat (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=democrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP