Will “Cuba” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Cuba” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (40%), most recently on Apr 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Cuba
- Probability
- 35% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…communism. Just look at countries all over this world. As an example, Cuba right now is a country that is about to be a failed…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Trump said we'll finish one, talking about Iran, and he said then Cuba is next. Is Cuba next? And also on Colombia, Mr. Vice President,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Cuba” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Cuba” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (40%), most recently on Apr 8, 2026.
- What is the probability “Cuba” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Cuba’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/cuba (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=cuba · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP