Will “Home / Country” be said 15+ times at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Home / Country” was said 15+ times at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 18, 2026.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (15+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Home / Country 15+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the Department of War has officially selected Cleveland, Ohio as the new home for the US Navy's Submarine Component Repair Center. This massive 46,000 square…
…it's never -- it's never too much in reducing crime in this country. Under President Trump's leadership, crime is the lowest it has been in…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…A couple of other final points. So for all the kids at home and their parents, importantly, today is -- or I believe tomorrow is…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…National Association of Manufacturers, which is the largest manufacturing association in the country, released a detailed report showing exactly how these tax cuts are driving…
…focused on lowering costs and raising wages for working families across the country. Just last week, Walmart and Sam's Club announced they will be lowering…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | Home / Country 15+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 38 |
Questions
- How often is “Home / Country 15+ times” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Home / Country” was said 15+ times at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 18, 2026.
- What is the probability “Home / Country 15+ times” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Home / Country 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/country-or-home-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=country%20%2F%20home%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP