Will “Congress / Congressional” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Congress / Congressional” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 4, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Congress / Congressional
- Probability
- 50% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…for allegedly violating the War Powers Resolution by conducting the war without Congressional authorization. What's your current legal assessment of how long the war could…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…two months? And also, second part of the question, if Democrats do take control of Congress, then do we lose the AI race to China?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…it's exactly what he is delivering with the help of Republicans in Congress. Democrats throw around the word affordability a lot, but when they had…
…Capitol Hill, and he wants to see all Senators and members of Congress voting in favor of the SAVE America Act, because it's crucially important…
…from the Treasury Department? How does that square with the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act? And are you planning on briefing Congress on this portion?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Congress / Congressional |  Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Congress / Congressional | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often is “Congress / Congressional” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Congress / Congressional” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 4, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “Congress / Congressional” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Congress / Congressional’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/congress-or-congressional (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=congress%20%2F%20congressional · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP