Will “Children” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Children” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 20, 2025.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Children
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…personal question. Your family is in California, your husband, you have four children. I'm wondering how you manage -- how are you going to manage…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…more than 2,000 illegal firearms seized and nearly 1,500 known gang members arrested over the past year. We also located more than 200 missing children.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Yeah, she's got three young children. Secondly, in terms of the war and the timeline, given this administration has put timelines out there before, what…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the Council of Economic Advisers this morning, more than 6.5 million American children have been signed up for accounts so far including my two kids,…
…years from now, but many, many years from now so that our children never have to worry about a state sponsor of terrorism having a…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2025 | Children |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often is “Children” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Children” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 20, 2025.
- What is the probability “Children” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Children’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/children (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=children · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP