Will “Capitol Hill” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Capitol Hill” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 25, 2026.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Capitol Hill
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…working families' tax cuts and point out that every single Democrat on Capitol Hill voted against every single common-sense provision that put more money back…
…for the largest tax cuts in American history, which every Democrat on Capitol Hill voted against. You have this president to thank for the Trump…
…these days and how people will be very concerned about it. On Capitol Hill, you've had lawmakers today raising concern about Bill Pulte and on…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…in the hands of the -- it's all in -- up on Capitol Hill. And at Treasury, we prepare things in advance. So, we have…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Capitol Hill |  Polymarket | Yes | 8 |
Questions
- How often is “Capitol Hill” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Capitol Hill” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 25, 2026.
- What is the probability “Capitol Hill” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Capitol Hill’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/capitol-hill (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=capitol%20hill · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP