Will “Budget” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Budget” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Budget
- Probability
- 36% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I understand the House had a great accomplishment yesterday with passing the budget resolution, which has as much of the Save American Act as possible,…
…elements of the SAVE America PAC -- Act as possible to the budget reconciliation 3.0. Here we go. The President is supportive of that process,…
…meeting said he thought that reducing fraud would help to balance the budget. You put out the goal of getting the deficit to 3 percent…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Budget” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Budget” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2025.
- What is the probability “Budget” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Budget’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/budget (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=budget · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP