Will “Blockade / Embargo” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Blockade / Embargo” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 5, 2026.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Blockade / Embargo
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…them stop shooting commercial ships, are we talking about an indefinite naval blockade? Isn't that costly and hampers US readiness elsewhere? And how will the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…happening in the strait right now. We know that there is a blockade of ships directed by the President for ships entering and departing Iranian…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…far, they are honoring their end of the commitment. And on the blockade, CENTCOM has allowed north of a dozen ships to go through our…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Blockade / Embargo |  Polymarket | Yes | 13 |
Questions
- How often is “Blockade / Embargo” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Blockade / Embargo” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “Blockade / Embargo” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Blockade / Embargo’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/blockade-or-embargo (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=blockade%20%2F%20embargo · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP