Will “Nuclear / Ballistic” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nuclear / Ballistic” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 5, 2026.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Nuclear / Ballistic
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…as $120 billion to build a -- to build eight large scale nuclear power plants, something we've needed as the United States and something President…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…we doing this. Number one, it's so that Iran never has a nuclear weapon. And number two, what we're doing right now is protecting commercial…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Thank you. And then on the Saudi Arabia nuclear deal, what steps is the U.S. Taking to get Saudi Arabia to sign the Abraham Accords?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Operation Epic Fury in the first place. Iran can never obtain a nuclear weapon. That's why he launched Operation Epic Fury. They have suffered devastating…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…comply with the rest of the deal or not. Number one, their nuclear program has been completely destroyed. Their capacity for enrichment, the facilities at…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Nuclear / Ballistic |  Polymarket | Yes | 24 |
Questions
- How often is “Nuclear / Ballistic” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nuclear / Ballistic” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “Nuclear / Ballistic” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Nuclear / Ballistic’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/ballistic-or-nuclear (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=ballistic%20%2F%20nuclear · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP