Will “Baby / Pregnant” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Baby / Pregnant” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 7, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Baby / Pregnant
- Probability
- 41% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 2 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
We now have a six week old baby who is happy and healthy. So honey, I love you. I'm very proud of you. And amazingly,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the opportunity to shout out to my husband, who's home with our babies right now. I look forward to returning home later to be with…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | Baby / Pregnant |  Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Baby / Pregnant |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Baby / Pregnant” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Baby / Pregnant” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 7, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 15, 2026.
- What is the probability “Baby / Pregnant” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Baby / Pregnant’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/baby-or-pregnant (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=baby%20%2F%20pregnant · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP