Will “American Dream” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “American Dream” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 18, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
American Dream
- Probability
- 34% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…and higher wages for American workers. It means a chance for the American dream for young families and it means restoring the belief that we…
…think we can all agree, an enormously powerful head start toward the American Dream. These funds can be used for college, starting a business, or…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | American Dream |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | American Dream | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | American Dream |  Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often is “American Dream” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “American Dream” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 18, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 18, 2026.
- What is the probability “American Dream” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘American Dream’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/american-dream (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=american%20dream · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP