Will “AI / Intelligence” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “AI / Intelligence” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 25, 2026.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceWhite House press briefing
AI / Intelligence
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…since 2024, these individuals who worked for the services of the Russian intelligence community, were charged with financing terrorism and conspiring to commit murder for…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…two months? And also, second part of the question, if Democrats do take control of Congress, then do we lose the AI race to China?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…this country. All while cementing America's dominance over China in the global AI race. The President is ensuring the American people are never left footing…
…missiles. You just said earlier that the military program is destroyed. US Intelligence estimates that Iran still retains roughly 70 percent of its pre-war ballistic…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…respond to any of the criticism from Republicans on President Trump's decision to tap Bill Pulte, who has no known intelligence experience, as acting DNI?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | AI / Intelligence | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “AI / Intelligence” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “AI / Intelligence” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 25, 2026.
- What is the probability “AI / Intelligence” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘AI / Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/ai-or-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=ai%20%2F%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP