Will “AI / Intelligence” be said at the next White House press briefing?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “AI / Intelligence” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 25, 2026.

Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
role: press secretary

BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

White House press briefing

AI / Intelligence

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last 8 press briefings
said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: role: press secretary

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Todd BlanchespeakerAttorney General of the United States Todd Blanche Briefs Members of the Media, Sep. 15, 2026 · Sep 15, 2026 · 1:37In transcript

…since 2024, these individuals who worked for the services of the Russian intelligence community, were charged with financing terrorism and conspiring to commit murder for…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

The PressreporterVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, Sep. 3, 2026 · Sep 3, 2026 · 29:10In transcript

…two months? And also, second part of the question, if Democrats do take control of Congress, then do we lose the AI race to China?

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Karoline LeavittspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Jul. 23, 2026 · Jul 23, 2026 · 5:42In transcript

…this country. All while cementing America's dominance over China in the global AI race. The President is ensuring the American people are never left footing…

The PressreporterVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, Jun. 18, 2026 · Jun 18, 2026 · 37:15In transcript

…missiles. You just said earlier that the military program is destroyed. US Intelligence estimates that Iran still retains roughly 70 percent of its pre-war ballistic…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

The PressreporterCMS Administrator Dr. Mehmet Oz Briefs Members of the Media, Jun. 2, 2026 · Jun 2, 2026 · 21:34In transcript

…respond to any of the criticism from Republicans on President Trump's decision to tap Bill Pulte, who has no known intelligence experience, as acting DNI?

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Katie Zacharia say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Mar 25, 2026AI / IntelligencePolymarketNo0

Questions

How often is “AI / Intelligence” said at the White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “AI / Intelligence” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 25, 2026.
What is the probability “AI / Intelligence” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
34%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.

Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘AI / Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/ai-or-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=ai%20%2F%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP