Will “Administration” be said 10+ times at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Administration” was said 10+ times at the White House press briefing on 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 31, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jul 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (10+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Administration 10+ times
- Probability
- 41% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Counts: role: press secretary
5 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…delivering 100 percent expensing for new factories, equipment and research, the Trump administration is setting up American manufacturers and workers to thrive like never before.…
…we've seen time and time again they have chosen to block this administration to block republicans in congress from keeping our government open which does…
Counts: role: press secretary
14 counted (9 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
…CPI report confirmed what President Trump predicted: prices are falling, and this administration's economic policies are working. Inflation dropped 0.4 percent last month, beating expectations…
…since President Trump took office, after falling nearly $3,000 during the previous administration. This is real progress made possible by the President's pro-growth economic agenda.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Administration 10+ times |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Administration 10+ times | Polymarket | No | 5 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Administration 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 14 |
| May 19, 2026 | Administration 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Administration 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Administration 10+ times” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Administration” was said 10+ times at the White House press briefing on 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 31, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jul 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “Administration 10+ times” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Administration 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/administration-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=administration%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP