Will “Bill / Ackman” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Bill / Ackman” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 9, 2025.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Apr 8, 2025
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Bill / Ackman
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…with my neighborhood is going to get worse. In particular, my power bills are going to go up. The way to bridge that gap is…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…over China in the global AI race. The President is ensuring the American people are never left footing the bill so private companies can benefit.
…Republicans will vote for this important piece of legislation. The budget reconciliation bill not only will address the SAVE America Act, but also ensure important…
…which we have plenty of, that there's an aberrancy in how these bills are coming in to us, so there might be fraud there, it's…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…believe, are the most important benefit for young people since the GI Bill. Today the app is now available on all major platforms, bringing the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2025 | Bill / Ackman |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often is “Bill / Ackman” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Bill / Ackman” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 9, 2025.
- What is the probability “Bill / Ackman” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Bill / Ackman’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/ackman-or-bill (CC BY 4.0)
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