Will Donald Trump say “Weapon / Weaponization”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Weapon / Weaponization” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 13, 2025.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Weapon / Weaponization
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 3 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
was a road to a nuclear weapon for Iran. It was a horrible deal. We obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with Operation Midnight Hammer. You…
…said we have to go and stop them from having a nuclear weapon. If they had a nuclear weapon, you wouldn't be very comfortable. Well,…
which was a road to a nuclear weapon for Iran. I terminated that was a road to a nuclear weapon. We obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment…
…but I thought she was badly treated and it looked like a weaponization to me when they did what they did. It would look to…
…bully no more. From the first day I entered the political arena, I've been unwavering. I will never allow Iran to have a nuclear weapon.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | Weapon / Weaponization |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Weapon / Weaponization”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Weapon / Weaponization” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 13, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Weapon / Weaponization” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Weapon / Weaponization’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/weapon-or-weaponization (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=weapon%20%2F%20weaponization · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP