Will Donald Trump say “Waiter / Waitress”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Waiter / Waitress” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 16, 2026 (67%), most recently on Aug 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Waiter / Waitress
- Probability
- 49% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Waiter / Waitress |  Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| May 1, 2026 | Waiter / Waitress |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Waiter / Waitress | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Waiter / Waitress”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Waiter / Waitress” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 16, 2026 (67%), most recently on Aug 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Waiter / Waitress” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Waiter / Waitress’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/waiter-or-waitress (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=waiter%20%2F%20waitress · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP