Will Donald Trump say “Vietnam”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Vietnam” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 28, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jun 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Vietnam
- Probability
- 44% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…fishermen in the world. I'm going to give you one quick example. Vietnam and Cambodia, they have companies that go in there. They fence off…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Vietnam”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Vietnam” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 28, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jun 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Vietnam” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Vietnam’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/vietnam (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=vietnam · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP