Will Donald Trump say “United States” 2+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “United States” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 17, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (2+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
United States 2+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…your next governor. And we're going to elect Ashley Moody to the United States Senate. And we're going to defeat the radical left Democrats all…
…So, we achieved the most secure border in American history. In the past 17 months, zero illegal aliens have been admitted into the United States.
…into our prison system to face real jail time here in the United States for their crimes against the American people. So, you have effectively…
…people of South Carolina are going to elect Darlene Graeme to the United States. She's great. She's great. And we're going to elect a Republican…
…actually. But Ukraine has to want to make a deal because the United States has spent a fortune. Europe has spent a fortune. Europe's tired…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2025 | United States 2+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “United States 2+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “United States” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 17, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “United States 2+ times” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘United States 2+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/united-state-2plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=united%20state%20%282%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP