What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tennessee” next time?

42%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Donald Trump say “Tennessee”?

Name: Donald Trump: “Tennessee” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tennessee” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 12, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

42%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak: said the last 2 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 19:38 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Tennessee

Probability: 42% · n=2
Settled: 2/2 (100%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

videootherDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 0:47In transcript

…bless the USA. From the lakes of Minnesota to the hills of Tennessee, across the plains of Texas, from sea to shining sea, from Detroit…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Donald TrumpspeakerRemarks to the United Nations General Assembly in New York City · Sep 22, 2026 · 3:59In transcript

Since the year 1900, I sent our crime busters into Memphis, Tennessee, and New Orleans, Louisiana, and crime in each place went down over 80%…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result	Our count
Mar 2, 2026	Tennessee	Polymarket	Yes	–
Oct 12, 2025	Tennessee	Polymarket	Yes	– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Tennessee”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tennessee” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 12, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 2, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tennessee” next time?: 42%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tennessee’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/tennessee (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=tennessee · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP