Will Donald Trump say “Taxpayer”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Taxpayer” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Taxpayer
- Probability
- 46% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
5 counted; 6 by speakers the rule does not count.
…country -- in Minneapolis, Minnesota, was stealing billions and billions of dollars, taxpayer money, through fraudulent childcare centers and other scams, including the infamous Quality…
…had no idea it could be so thick. Nick's work to stop taxpayers from being ripped off is a direct threat to the radical left's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Taxpayer”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Taxpayer” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Taxpayer” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Taxpayer’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/taxpayer (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=taxpayer · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP