Will Donald Trump say “Tax on Tip / Tax on Overtime”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax on Tip / Tax on Overtime” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 10, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Tax on Tip / Tax on Overtime
- Probability
- 53% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…he's he's going to end that. He's going to end no tax on tips. He's going to end no tax on social security for our…
…am on the ballot essentially because all these things like no tax on tips and no tax on overtime, no tax on social security fragrances,…
…history. I did it in my first term also, including no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and no tax on social security for…
…in American history with the great big beautiful bill including no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and no tax on social security. You…
…cuts in American history with a great big beautiful bill, no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on social security for our…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Tax on Tip / Tax on Overtime |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime | Kalshi | Yes |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime | Kalshi | Yes |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Tax on Tip / Tax on Overtime”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax on Tip / Tax on Overtime” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 10, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tax on Tip / Tax on Overtime” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tax on Tip / Tax on Overtime’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/tax-on-overtime-or-tax-on-tip (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=tax%20on%20overtime%20%2F%20tax%20on%20tip · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP