Will Donald Trump say “Swing”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Swing” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 30, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Swing
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…against somebody, but as it turned out, we didn't need it. It was very We didn't need it. We got all seven swing. We won
…just won the presidency in a landslide, by the way. all seven swing states popular vote 87% of the counties the massive electoral college win…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2025 | Swing |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Swing”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Swing” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 30, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Swing” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Swing’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/swing (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=swing · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP