What is the probability Donald Trump says “Strait” next time?

35%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Donald Trump say “Strait”?

Name: Donald Trump: “Strait” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Strait” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 07:33 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Strait

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 0/1 (0%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 50:56In transcript

…was an article that more oil is coming out of the Harour Strait today than came out before this war started. Think of that. Think…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 43:50In transcript

…our navies unbelieved the blockade more oil came out of the Hormone Strait over the last week than at any time previous including before the…

Donald TrumpspeakerRemarks to the United Nations General Assembly in New York City · Sep 22, 2026 · 11:16In transcript

…recently escorted more than 1 billion barrels of oil out of the Strait of Hormuz, and more oil is flowing than at any point since…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Jul 29, 2026	Strait	Polymarket	No

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Strait”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Strait” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Strait” next time?: 35%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Strait’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/strait (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=strait · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP