Will Donald Trump say “Stolen / Steal”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Stolen / Steal” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 9, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jan 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Stolen / Steal
- Probability
- 42% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…of cyber crime perpetrated by fraudsters, hackers and scammers who try to steal Americans' money, prey on senior citizens, exploit children and young people through…
…think that will be amazing because the kind of money that's been stolen is trillions from this country by crooked politicians that made things and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Stolen / Steal |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Stolen / Steal | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Stolen / Steal”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Stolen / Steal” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 9, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jan 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Stolen / Steal” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Stolen / Steal’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/steal-or-stolen (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=steal%20%2F%20stolen · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP