Will Donald Trump say “Secure”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Secure” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 17, 2025.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Secure
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 1 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Can you believe it? I'm sure the guy who did it is no longer with them, but but we achieved the most secure border in
…There's never been a time like it. So, we achieved the most secure border in American history. In the past 17 months, zero illegal aliens…
…agencies across the country, and fight to dismantle the cyber syndicates and secure our communities. Most critically, we are protecting our families through what is…
…America. There's never been a time like this. We achieved the most secure border in American history. Remember our border when the millions and millions…
…Before I took office, we had the worst and most dangerous border on earth. And now we have the most secure border in American history.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2025 | Secure |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Secure”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Secure” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 17, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Secure” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Secure’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/secure (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=secure · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP