Will Donald Trump say “School”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “School” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 6, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceDonald Trump
School
- Probability
- 38% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…you. Angie Nixon was the lead sponsor of a bill to let schools turn children, all of them transgender if they want, without parental without…
running in Iowa with that record. Turk voted to allow schools to turn your children transgender without informing the parents and with no parental consent.…
…government. We got critical race theory and transgender insanity out of our schools. Totally gone. And we totally banned and won in the Supreme Court.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shownQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “School”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “School” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 6, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “School” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘School’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/school (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=school · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP