Will Donald Trump say “School”?

As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “School” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 6, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

38%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

School

Probability
38% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 8:53In transcript

…you. Angie Nixon was the lead sponsor of a bill to let schools turn children, all of them transgender if they want, without parental without…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 5:27In transcript

running in Iowa with that record. Turk voted to allow schools to turn your children transgender without informing the parents and with no parental consent.…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 56:42In transcript

…government. We got critical race theory and transgender insanity out of our schools. Totally gone. And we totally banned and won in the Supreme Court.…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 20, 2026SchoolPolymarketNo
May 6, 2026SchoolPolymarketYes

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “School”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “School” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 6, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 6, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “School” next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘School’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/school (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=school · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP