Will Donald Trump say “Vance / Rubio”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Vance / Rubio” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Vance / Rubio
- Probability
- 38% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 3 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…They'll raise up their hands and then we're going to send Marco Rubio in to finish up the deal. We have Marco. Marco. We don't…
…of the White House Task Force to Eliminate Fraud, Vice President JD Vance, who's been amazing. He's done a fantastic job along with FTC Chairman,…
…pressure they've ever been under. It's an absolutely failed state. It's failing like never before, and it will fall. Marco Rubio is handling a negotiation.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Vance / Rubio |  Polymarket | No |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Rubio / Vance | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Vance / Rubio”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Vance / Rubio” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Vance / Rubio” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Vance / Rubio’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/rubio-or-vance (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=rubio%20%2F%20vance · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP