Will Donald Trump say “Rubio”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Rubio” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 10, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Rubio
- Probability
- 47% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…They'll raise up their hands and then we're going to send Marco Rubio in to finish up the deal. We have Marco. Marco. We don't…
…pressure they've ever been under. It's an absolutely failed state. It's failing like never before, and it will fall. Marco Rubio is handling a negotiation.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Rubio”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Rubio” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 10, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Rubio” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Rubio’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/rubio (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=rubio · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP