Will Donald Trump say “Riot”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Riot” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 15, 2025.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Riot
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 0 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…schools. Oh, the floor of the school is a little dirty. Let's riot. No, it's not that. They didn't they didn't look like school children…
…never seen anything like that. That wasn't a little bit of a riot; that wasn't a little bit of a protest. That was a full-on…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2025 | Riot |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Riot”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Riot” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 15, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Riot” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Riot’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/riot (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=riot · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP