What is the probability Donald Trump says “Resign” next time?

41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Donald Trump say “Resign”?

Name: Donald Trump: “Resign” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Resign” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 2, 2025.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 15:14 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Resign

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 0/1 (0%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 28:28In transcript

…fake name to be sworn in, I assumed that she must immediately resign from Congress. So, Byron and Ashley, please inform the Speaker of the…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 12:19In transcript

…name to be sworn in. I assume she must immediately have to resign from Congress. So, please inform our great Speaker of the House of…

Donald TrumpspeakerRemarks to the United Nations General Assembly in New York City · Sep 22, 2026 · 31:04In transcript

…or an evil group of people. I call on all nations that are members of the ICC to officially resign from this rogue institution immediately.

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Sep 2, 2025	Resign	Kalshi	No

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Resign”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Resign” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 2, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Resign” next time?: 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Resign’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/resign (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=resign · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP