Will Donald Trump say “Protest / Protester”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Protest / Protester” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Protest / Protester
- Probability
- 48% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…now, the people of South Carolina You Thank you. Thank you. paid protesters. It's unbelievable. Unbelievable. They'll do whatever they can to win. They get…
…little bit of a riot; that wasn't a little bit of a protest. That was a full-on revolution and it continues, and it continues. So,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Protest / Protester |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Protest / Protester | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Protest / Protester”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Protest / Protester” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Protest / Protester” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Protest / Protester’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/protest-or-protester (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=protest%20%2F%20protester · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP