Will Donald Trump say “Plane”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Plane” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 20, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Plane
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…they stopped shooting and the war was over. I stopped it. 11 planes, think of it. 11 planes were shot. I stopped all these wars…
…it to Iran and he gave it to them. Can you imagine the face of these guys when the plane opened up and they this
…have done a good job, a great job. That -- that beautiful plane right there took them out. But it's under hundreds of tons of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2025 | Plane |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Plane”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Plane” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 20, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Plane” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Plane’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/plane (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=plane · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP