Will Donald Trump say “Pirate”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Pirate” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=1, from prior), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Oct 20, 2026
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 100¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Pirate
- Probability
- 49% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…their number one You know what their number one industry is? Being pirates and robbing ships. No. All they have is crime. And she sailed.…
…that those you love are using internet service overrun by thieves and pirates, predators, and foreign criminals. Under the Trump administration, we have marshaled the…
…will not let our country be looted and plundered by thieves and pirates and foreign fraudsters and basically scum. Today, I'm pleased to welcome to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pirate |  Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Pirate”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Pirate” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Pirate” next time?
- 49%, from the model (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Pirate’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/pirate (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=pirate · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP