Will Donald Trump say “October 7th” 4+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “October 7th” 4+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 13, 2025.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (4+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
October 7th 4+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 0 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…time. In two weeks, we will mark the third anniversary of the October 7th attack in Israel, where terrorists funded by Iran tortured, mutilated and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | October 7th 4+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “October 7th 4+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “October 7th” 4+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 13, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “October 7th 4+ times” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘October 7th 4+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/october-7th-4plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=october%207th%20%284%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP