Will Donald Trump say “North Carolina” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “North Carolina” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 25, 2024.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
North Carolina 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…funny thing because Oh, I can't forget. Where are the ladies from North Carolina? Where are you? Look at them. They follow me all over…
…when I -- when I go to North, when I go to North Carolina -- wait, wait, wait -- when I go to North Carolina…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2024 | North Carolina 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “North Carolina 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “North Carolina” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 25, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “North Carolina 5+ times” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘North Carolina 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/north-carolina-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=north%20carolina%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP