Will Donald Trump say “Washington DC / Nation's Capital”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Washington DC / Nation's Capital” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 2, 2025.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Washington DC / Nation's Capital

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 24:37In transcript

…it looks sharp. We And we did that whole thing with Washington. Washington DC went from a murderous, horrible place two years ago to one…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 18:28In transcript

…lowest level in 125 years since 1900. And when Ashley goes to Washington DC where Joanie has spent a lot of very prosperous years. Great…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 26:37In transcript

…crime ever recorded with the murder rate the lowest it's been in 125 years since 1900 amazing then Washington DC which was a dangerous murderous

Donald TrumpspeakerRemarks to the United Nations General Assembly in New York City · Sep 22, 2026 · 4:13In transcript

…More importantly, when I arrived on January 20th of last year in Washington, D.C., it was riddled with crime. And now crime is down 87%…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 2, 2025Washington DC / Nation's CapitalKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Washington DC / Nation's Capital”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Washington DC / Nation's Capital” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 2, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Washington DC / Nation's Capital” next time?
42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Washington DC / Nation's Capital’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/nations-capital-or-washington-dc (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=nation%27s%20capital%20%2F%20washington%20dc · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP