Will Donald Trump say “Murderer”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Murderer” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 7, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Dec 3, 2025
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Murderer
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…how to evade capture. He's explaining to them how to evade capture, murderers, drug dealers, how to evade capture. This is not working for Iowa.…
…States. ZERO, RIGHT? Remember the way we had to live without people murderers and they came from prisons. They came from all over the world…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | Murderer |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Murderer”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Murderer” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 7, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Murderer” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Murderer’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/murderer (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=murderer · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP