Will Donald Trump say “Messi / Ronaldo”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Messi / Ronaldo” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 20, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Messi / Ronaldo
- Probability
- 53% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Messi / Ronaldo |  Polymarket | Yes | 9 |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Messi / Ronaldo | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Messi / Ronaldo”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Messi / Ronaldo” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 20, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Messi / Ronaldo” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Messi / Ronaldo’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/messi-or-ronaldo (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=messi%20%2F%20ronaldo · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP