Will Donald Trump say “Medicare”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Medicare” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 13, 2025.
Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- May 12, 2025
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Medicare
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 2 press conferences
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Ferguson. Great job, Andrew, proud of you. Administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Dr. Mehmet Oz. Thank you, Oz. and Homeland Security…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2025 | Medicare |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Medicare”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Medicare” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 13, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Medicare” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Medicare’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/medicare (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=medicare · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP