Will Donald Trump say “Lieutenant”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Lieutenant” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 20, 2026.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Feb 19, 2026
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Lieutenant
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Thank you. Thank you, Vern. And Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins. Thank you. Thank you, Jay. RNC Chairman Joe Gruters, who's doing a fantastic job. And…
…to be watching. He's great. He's great. You know, he was a lieutenant governor. And I'd say 90% of the reason I took the governor,…
…and over 2,700 subpoenas have been issued. And by the way, your lieutenant governor knew all about it. I saw her the other night --…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Lieutenant |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Lieutenant”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Lieutenant” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Lieutenant” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Lieutenant’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/lieutenant (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=lieutenant · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP