Will Donald Trump say “Laken Riley”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Laken Riley” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
35%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Laken Riley
- Probability
- 35% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 0 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Laken Riley |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Laken Riley | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Laken Riley”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Laken Riley” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Laken Riley” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Laken Riley’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/laken-riley (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=laken%20riley · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP