Will Donald Trump say “Kamala” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Kamala” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 19, 2025.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Kamala 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…no clue. He was sleeping most of the time. But his borders was Kamala. Nobody knows her last name. Does anybody know her last name?
…here. You know he he never heard from the borders. That was Kamala. She was appointed borders by Sleepy Joe. And I said, "Did you…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Kamala 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Kamala 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Kamala” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 19, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Kamala 5+ times” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Kamala 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/kamala-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=kamala%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP