Will Donald Trump say “Jared / Isaacman”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Jared / Isaacman” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Jared / Isaacman
- Probability
- 51% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Jared / Isaacman |  Kalshi | Yes | 9 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Jared / Isaacman | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Jared / Isaacman”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Jared / Isaacman” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Jared / Isaacman” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Jared / Isaacman’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/isaacman-or-jared (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=isaacman%20%2F%20jared · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP