Will Donald Trump say “Investigate / Investigation”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Investigate / Investigation” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 15, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Investigate / Investigation
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…dismantled and destroyed and demolished over 20 compounds. The Federal Bureau of Investigation, along with our partners at DOJ and the United States Attorney's offices,…
…We are now pursuing dozens of cases against those folks, including criminal investigations. We also deferred a half a billion dollars so far from Minnesota…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2025 | Investigate / Investigation |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Investigate / Investigation”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Investigate / Investigation” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 15, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Investigate / Investigation” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Investigate / Investigation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/investigate-or-investigation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=investigate%20%2F%20investigation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP