Will Donald Trump say “Intelligence”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Intelligence” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jun 25, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Intelligence
- Probability
- 51% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 0 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…That's because they're building these tremendous factories and we're leading with super intelligence SI. We're leading China and everybody else. And as far as uh…
…Chief of Staff Stephen Miller, FBI Director Kash Patel, Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton, National Cyber Director Sean Camon -- where are you, Sean?…
…built now. They're opening, some opened. And we're winning big in super intelligence. SI. Do you know what SI? We changed the name. and whoever…
…plants than we've ever built before. We're leading China in SI, super intelligence. We're leading them. We're leading everybody. We're leading the world in just…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2025 | Intelligence |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Intelligence |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Intelligence”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Intelligence” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jun 25, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Intelligence” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/intelligence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP