Will Donald Trump say “Innovation”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Innovation” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Nov 13, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
41%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Innovation
- Probability
- 41% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | Innovation |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Innovation |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Innovation”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Innovation” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Nov 13, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Innovation” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Innovation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/innovation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=innovation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP