Will Donald Trump say “Infrastructure”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Infrastructure” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 15, 2025.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Infrastructure
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 0 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
is rebuilding the infrastructure. He's reopening the markets for our commercial fishermen. And today, he's announcing a label for all Americanmade seafood. that says it's…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…because your directive is clear that attacks on our people or our infrastructure will be met with decisive action. And the War Department has the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2025 | Infrastructure |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Infrastructure”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Infrastructure” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 15, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Infrastructure” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Infrastructure’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/infrastructure (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=infrastructure · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP