Will Donald Trump say “Race / Indy”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Race / Indy” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Race / Indy
- Probability
- 57% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…diversity, equity, and inclusion policies throughout the federal government. We got critical race theory and transgender insanity out of our schools. And we made English…
…discriminatory diversity, equity, and inclusion policies throughout the Right. We got critical race theory and transgender insanity out of our schools. We made English the…
…We have a lot of great ones here. Ashley's opponent in this race is a woke far-left radical named Josh Turk who's whose record is…
…back there. They'll change it for politics or change it for this race. But eventually when it comes time to do the important thing which…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Indy / Race |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Race / Indy | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Race / Indy”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Race / Indy” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Race / Indy” next time?
- 57%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Race / Indy’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/indy-or-race (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=indy%20%2F%20race · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP